Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.