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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
BayArena
Leipzig logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 3
RB Leipzig

Frimpong (39'), Grimaldo (45')
Boniface (12'), Frimpong (18'), Tapsoba (82')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kampl (45+7'), Openda (57', 80')
Rose (26'), Klostermann (61')
Rose (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.02%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 22.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRB Leipzig
56.02% (-0.139 -0.14)21.18% (0.033000000000001 0.03)22.8% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 62.18% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)35.85% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.06% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)57.94% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)12.8% (0.048 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.89% (-0.1 -0.1)39.11% (0.101 0.1)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (0.079000000000008 0.08)28.7% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (0.098999999999997 0.1)64.52% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 56.02%
    RB Leipzig 22.8%
    Draw 21.18%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.64% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.15%
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.73% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.13% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 56.02%
1-1 @ 9.43% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.67% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.18%
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.58% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 22.8%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig

Bayer Leverkusen
70.4%
Draw
16.7%
RB Leipzig
13.0%
108
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Simons (7'), Openda (56')
Simons (71'), Schlager (87')
Tella (47'), Tah (63'), Hincapie (90+1')
Tah (12'), Alonso (34'), Stanisic (38'), Wirtz (66')
Aug 19, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
B. Leverkusen
3-2
RB Leipzig
Frimpong (24'), Tah (35'), Wirtz (64')
Okoh Boniface (69')
Olmo (39'), Openda (71')
Seiwald (62'), Lukeba (81')
Apr 23, 2023 4.30pm
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
RB Leipzig
2-0
B. Leverkusen
Nkunku (32'), Werner (83')
Apr 17, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 30
B. Leverkusen
0-1
RB Leipzig

Hincapie (48'), Andrich (72')
Szoboszlai (69')
Gvardiol (36')