DFL-Supercup | Final

Aug 17, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Stuttgart

Boniface (11'), Schick (88')
Alonso (43'), Xhaka (60'), Tapsoba (71'), Boniface (81'), Wirtz (85'), Frimpong (86')

FT
(aet)

Millot (15'), Undav (63')
Stiller (44'), Demirovic (71'), Millot (78'), Stenzel (82'), Chabot (86')

B. Leverkusen win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFL-Supercup clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Betis
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Stuttgart

All competitions

Last Game: Stuttgart 4-0 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 53.46%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.99%) and 1-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%).

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Stuttgart
53.46% ( 1.2)	21.35% ( -0.24)	25.19% ( -0.96)

Both teams to score 64.55% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.97% (

0.27)

34.03% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.1% (

0.31)

55.9% (

-0.3)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.05% (

0.46)

12.95% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.58% (

0.93)

39.42% (

-0.93)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.15% (

-0.53)

25.85% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.17% (

-0.73)

60.82% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 53.46%

Stuttgart 25.19%

Draw 21.35%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Stuttgart
2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 53.46%	1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.35%	1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.32% Total : 25.19%