Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Stuttgart
37.44% ( -0.07)	24.94% ( 0.02)	37.62% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 57.99% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.63% (

-0.08)

45.36% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.29% (

-0.08)

67.7% (

0.08)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.1% (

-0.07)

23.9% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.89% (

-0.1)

58.1% (

0.1)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.2% (

-0.01)

23.8% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.03% (

-0.02)

57.96% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 37.44%

Stuttgart 37.62%

Draw 24.93%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Stuttgart
2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.44%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93%	1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 37.62%