Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.