J1 League | Gameweek 14

May 15, 2024 at 11am UK

SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
2 - 1
Shonan Bellmare

Kinoshita (77', 78'), Hosoya (90+1')
Sekine (45'), Savio (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fukuda (73', 74')
Min-tae (14')
Fukuda (89')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Shonan Bellmare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions

Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-3 Reysol
Saturday, May 11 at 9am in J1 League

Goals
for

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions

Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, May 11 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
44.69% ( -0.17)	26.19% ( 0.05)	29.12% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 51.36% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.15% (

-0.13)

52.85% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.53% (

-0.11)

74.47% (

0.11)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.44% (

-0.14)

23.56% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.39% (

-0.2)

57.61% (

0.21)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.18% (

0.03)

32.82% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.62% (

0.04)

69.38% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 44.68%

Shonan Bellmare 29.12%

Draw 26.19%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.68%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.12%