J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 6, 2024 at 8am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
1 - 2
Kashima Antlers

Shimamura (65')
Mitsumaru (41'), Kawaguchi (51'), Toshima (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nago (4'), Cavric (90+2')
Ueda (71')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Kashima Antlers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 2-0 Reysol
Friday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League

Kashima Antlers

All competitions
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 3-1 Shonan Bellmare
Friday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawKashima Antlers
33.35% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)26.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)39.8% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.03% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.94% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)54.06% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.51% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)75.49% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)30.47% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32% (-0.052 -0.05)66.68% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)26.61% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)61.83% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 33.35%
    Kashima Antlers 39.79%
    Draw 26.84%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 9.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.35%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.11% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.45%
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 3.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.79%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 6am
Gameweek 32
Kashima Antlers
1-1
Reysol
Pituca (87' pen.)
Hosoya (77')
Koga (54'), Takamine (75'), Diego (89')
Apr 9, 2023 11am
Gameweek 7
Reysol
1-0
Kashima Antlers
Hosoya (32')
Jul 2, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 19
Reysol
1-2
Kashima Antlers
Muto (63')
Kamijima (15')
Min-tae (45+2'), Stum (82' pen.)
Sekigawa (23')
Mar 6, 2022 6am
Gameweek 3
Kashima Antlers
1-0
Reysol
Araki (65')
Pituca (14'), Kwoun (54')

Hosoya (11'), Ominami (78'), Toshima (90+5')
Jul 11, 2021 11am
Gameweek 22
Reysol
2-1
Kashima Antlers
Da Silva (53'), Raul (57')
Richardson (16'), Raul (45+1')
Inukai (89')
Misao (56'), Inukai (65'), Stum (83')
rhs 2.0


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