Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.