J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 30, 2024 at 6am UK
K’s Denki Stadium (Mito)

Kashima Antlers
1 - 0
Jubilo Iwata

Suzuki (33' pen., 33' pen.)
Nago (17'), Nago (17')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Uehara (23'), Uehara (23'), Gomes (41'), Gomes (41')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Jubilo Iwata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashima Antlers

All competitions
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-1 Kawasaki
Sunday, March 17 at 6am in J1 League

Jubilo Iwata

All competitions
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kashima Antlers in this match.

Result
Kashima AntlersDrawJubilo Iwata
44.98% (-0.109 -0.11)26.45% (0.055 0.05)28.57% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.24% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.86% (-0.187 -0.19)54.14% (0.186 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (-0.158 -0.16)75.55% (0.155 0.16)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (-0.134 -0.13)23.98% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.78% (-0.191 -0.19)58.22% (0.19 0.19)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)33.91% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)70.58% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Kashima Antlers 44.98%
    Jubilo Iwata 28.57%
    Draw 26.45%
Kashima AntlersDrawJubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 11.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.98%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 28.57%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 6am
Gameweek 32
Jubilo Iwata
3-3
Kashima Antlers
May 3, 2022 7am
Gameweek 11
Kashima Antlers
3-1
Jubilo Iwata
Arthur (30'), Ueda (35', 78')
Gonzalez (71')
Graca (85')