Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.