J1 League | Gameweek 33

Nov 25, 2023 at 5am UK

SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
2 - 2
Sagan Tosu

Savio (34'), Hosoya (38')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Togashi (4'), Naganuma (67')
Kawahara (21'), Tezuka (47')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, November 11 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Sagan Tosu

All competitions

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-3 Yokohama FC
Saturday, November 11 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Sagan Tosu
44.87% ( 0.06)	25.11% ( -0.02)	30.02% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 55.32% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.07% (

0.07)

47.93% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.89% (

0.06)

70.11% (

-0.07)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.62% (

0.06)

21.38% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.64% (

0.09)

54.36% (

-0.1)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36% (

29.64% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.31% (

0.01)

65.68% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 44.87%

Sagan Tosu 30.02%

Draw 25.1%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 44.87%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.02%