Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Yokohama FC had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Yokohama FC win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.