J1 League Gameweek 26
Sep 2, 2023 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
  • goal Pieros Soteriou 3'
  • yellowcard Marcos Junior 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Takumu Kawamura 67'
  • goal Douglas Vieira 79'

Sagan Tosu vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Aug 26, 2023 11.00am
Sagan Tosu 1 - 1 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yoichi Naganuma

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last game
Aug 26, 2023 11.00am
Reysol 0 - 0 Hiroshima
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Douglas Vieira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result

Sagan Tosu 23.38% (-0.03)
Draw 23.96% (-0.04)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 52.66% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.35% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.14% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 47.85% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 29.96% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 70.04% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 14.64% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 85.35% (-0.09)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 65.16% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 34.84% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 28.42% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 71.57% (-0.05)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5 81.87% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 18.13% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 50.91% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 49.09% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Sagan Tosu 23.38%
Draw 23.95%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 52.66%
Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 6.66% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.51% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 23.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.12% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.95%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.71% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.21% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.53% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.24% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.36% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.24% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 52.66%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 7
Apr 9, 2023 6.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • Douglas Vieira 75' goal
J1 League Gameweek 34
Nov 5, 2022 5.00am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Taisei Miyashiro 57' goal
  • Hwang Seok-Ho 60' goal
  • goal Sho Sasaki 3'
  • goal Makoto Mitsuta 42'
J1 League Gameweek 1
Feb 19, 2022 5.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 21
Jul 3, 2021 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Junior Santos 62' goal
  • goal Noriyoshi Sakai 90'+1'
J1 League Gameweek 13
May 8, 2021 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Sho Sasaki 50'
J1 League Gameweek 15
Oct 3, 2020 9.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Yuya Asano 21' goal
  • Yuki Nogami 27' yellowcard
  • Shunki Higashi 45'+1' goal
  • Toshihiro Aoyama 56' goal
  • yellowcard Fuchi Honda 51'