Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.