J1 League Gameweek 31
Oct 27, 2023 11.00am
1
1
HT : 2 1
FT Nagaragawa Stadium
  • Kensuke Nagai 41' goal
  • Kasper Junker 65' goal
  • Takuji Yonemoto 77' yellowcard
  • Kensuke Nagai 41'+41' goal
  • Ryoya Morishita 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Yuji Ono 11'
  • redcard Kosuke Yamazaki 50'
  • goal Cayman Togashi 89'

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 6.00am
Gamba Osaka 0 - 1 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kasper Junker

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 5.00am
Albirex Niigata 1 - 1 Sagan Tosu
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yoichi Naganuma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Nagoya Grampus 50.96% (+0.08)
Draw 24.35% (-0.01)
Sagan Tosu 24.68% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.53% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.68% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 48.31% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 29.54% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 70.46% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 14.36% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.64% (+0.04)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 81.04% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.96% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 49.51% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 50.49% (-0.02)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 66.05% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 33.95% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 29.38% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 70.62% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Nagoya Grampus 50.96%
Draw 24.35%
Sagan Tosu 24.68%
Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.7% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.61% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.9% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.33% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.93% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 50.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.44% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.35%
Sagan Tosu
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.68%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 3
Mar 4, 2023 6.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Best Amenity Stadium
  • Yoichi Naganuma 83' goal
J1 League Gameweek 25
Aug 14, 2022 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kohei Tezuka 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sho Inagaki 71'
J1 League Gameweek 3
Mar 6, 2022 5.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Akito Fukuta 2' goal
  • Yutaka Yoshida 88' yellowcard
  • goal Akito Fukuta 30'
  • yellowcard Kei Koizumi 80'
J1 League Gameweek 20
Jul 17, 2021 11.00am
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Yoshihiro Nakano 41' yellowcard
  • Yoshihiro Nakano 48' goal
  • Noriyoshi Sakai 51' goal
  • Tomoya Koyamatsu 80' goal
  • goal Dudu 39' (OG)
  • yellowcard Sho Inagaki 53'
J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 18, 2021 7.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Kazuki Nagasawa 44' yellowcard
  • Sho Inagaki 85' goal
  • goal Daichi Hayashi 6'
  • yellowcard Daichi Hayashi 24'
  • yellowcard Nanasei Iino 31'
  • goal Noriyoshi Sakai 45'
J1 League Gameweek 32
Nov 3, 2020 4.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • redcard Gabriel Xavier 85'