J1 League | Gameweek 27

Sep 16, 2023 at 11am UK

Level-5 stadium

Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

Wellington (84')
Nara (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Izumi (26')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions

Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Yokohama FC
Saturday, September 2 at 10am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Avispa Fukuoka in this match.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
37.3% ( -0.11)	29.26% ( 0.02)	33.44% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 44.02% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.2% (

-0.04)

62.8% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.67% (

-0.03)

82.32% (

0.03)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.64% (

-0.09)

32.36% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.13% (

-0.1)

68.87% (

0.11)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.07% (

0.05)

34.92% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.33% (

0.05)

71.66% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 37.3%

Nagoya Grampus 33.43%

Draw 29.26%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 37.3%	1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.26%	0-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.18% Total : 33.43%