J1 League | Gameweek 26

Sep 3, 2023 at 11am UK

Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
1 - 2
Avispa Fukuoka

Kumata (86')
Nagatomo (32'), Trevisan (53')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sato (2'), Yamagishi (11')
Maejima (47')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions

Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
44.55% ( 0.5)	28.05% ( 0.57)	27.4% ( -1.08)

Both teams to score 45.04% (

-2.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.56% (

-2.47)

60.44% (

2.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.42% (

-1.91)

80.57% (

1.91)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96% (

-0.88)

27.04% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.59% (

-1.17)

62.4% (

1.17)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.73% (

-2.23)

38.26% (

2.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.97% (

-2.21)

75.02% (

2.21)

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 44.55%

Avispa Fukuoka 27.4%

Draw 28.03%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.89) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.86% Total : 44.55%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.91) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.03%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.2) Other @ 1.6% Total : 27.4%