Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.