J1 League Gameweek 30
Gamba Osaka
Oct 21, 2023 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Nishigaoka National Stadium
Nagoya Grampus
  • Kwon Kyung-won 52' yellowcard
  • Yuki Yamamoto 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Takuji Yonemoto 23'
  • goal Haruya Fujii 26'

Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 7.00am
FC Tokyo 3 - 0 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Juan Alano

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 11.00am
Hiroshima 3 - 1 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kasper Junker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result

Gamba Osaka 33.92% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 27.78% ▼ (-0.13)
Nagoya Grampus 38.31% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.31% ▲ (+0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.46% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 2.5 57.54% ▼ (-0.48)
Over 3.5 21.68% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 3.5 78.33% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 4.5 9.32% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 4.5 90.69% ▼ (-0.23)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 68.15% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 0.5 31.85% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 1.5 31.71% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 68.29% ▼ (-0.34)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 70.9% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 0.5 29.11% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 1.5 34.97% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 65.03% ▼ (-0.33)

Score analysis

Gamba Osaka 33.91%
Draw 27.78%
Nagoya Grampus 38.31%
Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 10.6% ▼ (-0.12)
2-1 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.09% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.27% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.78%
Nagoya Grampus
0-1 @ 11.44% ▼ (-0.13)
1-2 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.31%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 12
Nagoya Grampus
May 6, 2023 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
Gamba Osaka
  • Sho Inagaki 67' goal
J1 League Gameweek 27
Nagoya Grampus
Aug 27, 2022 10.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Gamba Osaka
  • goal Patric 3'
  • yellowcard Ryotaro Meshino 27'
  • goal Musashi Suzuki 87'
J1 League Gameweek 6
Gamba Osaka
Apr 2, 2022 6.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Nagoya Grampus
  • Patric 26' goal
  • Kazuya Miyahara 54' goal
  • Keisuke Kurokawa 62' goal
  • goal Keiya Sento 83'
J1 League Gameweek 36
Gamba Osaka
Nov 20, 2021 5.00am
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT
Nagoya Grampus
  • Shu Kurata 30' yellowcard
  • Patric 53' goal
  • Ko Yanagisawa 54' yellowcard
  • Patric 85' yellowcard
  • goal Jakub Swierczok 8'
  • goal Yoichiro Kakitani 22'
  • goal Jakub Swierczok 29'
J1 League Gameweek 11
Nagoya Grampus
Apr 22, 2021 11.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Gamba Osaka
  • Ryogo Yamasaki 14' yellowcard
  • Ryogo Yamasaki 29' goal
  • Yuki Soma 55' goal
  • yellowcard Gen Shoji 62'
  • yellowcard Takashi Usami 88'
J1 League Gameweek 11
Nagoya Grampus
Mar 6, 2021 7.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Gamba Osaka
  • Shumpei Naruse 58' yellowcard
  • Yuki Soma 82' goal
  • yellowcard Takuro Kaneko 18'

Form Data

FC Tokyo 3 - 0 Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka 1 - 3 Urawa
Gamba Osaka 1 - 1 Albirex Niigata
Consadole 4 - 0 Gamba Osaka
Sagan Tosu 1 - 1 Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka 2 - 1 Shonan Bellmare
Hiroshima 3 - 1 Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus 1 - 1 Consadole
Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 0 Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus 1 - 1 Yokohama FC
Cerezo 3 - 1 Nagoya Grampus
Urawa 1 - 0 Nagoya Grampus