J1 League Gameweek 29
Oct 1, 2023 7.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Riki Harakawa 37' goal
  • Diego Oliveira 43' goal
  • Teruhito Nakagawa 46' yellowcard
  • Kuryu Matsuki 56' yellowcard
  • Kota Tawaratsumida 78' goal
  • yellowcard Dawhan 11'
  • yellowcard Shota Fukuoka 68'

FC Tokyo vs Gamba Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 7.00am
FC Tokyo 3 - 2 Sagan Tosu
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Diego Oliveira

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 9.00am
Gamba Osaka 1 - 3 Urawa
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Juan Alano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result

FC Tokyo 55.74% (-0.31)
Draw 23.28% (+0.18)
Gamba Osaka 20.98% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.33% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.35% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 47.65% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 30.15% (-0.54)
Under 3.5 69.85% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 14.77% (-0.38)
Under 4.5 85.22% (+0.37)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5 83.07% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 16.92% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 53.01% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 46.99% (+0.57)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 63% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 37% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 26.21% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 73.79% (+0.19)

Score analysis

FC Tokyo 55.74%
Draw 23.28%
Gamba Osaka 20.98%
FC Tokyo
1-0 @ 11.12% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 9.88% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.85% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.6% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 55.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.06% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.26% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 23.28%
Gamba Osaka
0-1 @ 6.23% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 5.5% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.1% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 20.98%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 10.00am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Nishigaoka National Stadium
  • Issam Jebali 25' goal
  • Issam Jebali 29' goal
  • Riku Handa 60' goal
  • goal Koki Tsukagawa 90'+2'
J1 League Gameweek 29
Sep 10, 2022 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 29, 2022 11.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Shuto Abe 34' yellowcard
  • Adailton 38' goal
  • Leandro 65' goal
  • Jakub Slowik 90'+5' yellowcard
J1 League Gameweek 25
Aug 21, 2021 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Shu Kurata 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Takuya Aoki 37'
  • yellowcard Leandro 82'
J1 League Gameweek 15
May 22, 2021 11.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Diego Oliveira 1' goal
  • yellowcard Shunya Suganuma 80'
J1 League Gameweek 26
Oct 10, 2020 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Ademilson 39'
  • goal Ademilson 41'
  • yellowcard Kim Young-gwon 78'