Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 24, 2023 at 9am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium

Gamba Osaka
1 - 3
Urawa

Usami (17')
Usami (59'), Kurokawa (59'), Fukuda (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kante (29'), Takahashi (68'), Linssen (85')
Sakai (16')
Kante (59')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Urawa Red Diamonds.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, September 17 at 11am in J1 League

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Wuhan TT 2-2 Urawa
Wednesday, September 20 at 1pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
31.05% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)26.82% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)42.12% (0.166 0.17)
Both teams to score 50.38% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.283 0.28)54.55% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.234 0.23)75.9% (-0.236 -0.24)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (0.083999999999989 0.08)32.29% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (0.096 0.1)68.79% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (0.215 0.22)25.59% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53% (0.293 0.29)60.47% (-0.295 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 31.05%
    Urawa Red Diamonds 42.12%
    Draw 26.82%
Gamba OsakaDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 31.05%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 11.26% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.68% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.49% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.19% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 42.12%

Head to Head
May 14, 2023 8am
Gameweek 13
Urawa
3-1
Gamba Osaka
Scholz (45+2' pen.), Okubo (54'), Yasui (59')
Jebali (23')
Jul 2, 2022 11am
Gameweek 19
Gamba Osaka
1-1
Urawa
Saito (33')
Sakamoto (36'), Dawhan (86'), Higashiguchi (90+5')
Scholz (90+2' pen.)
Hirano (49'), Sakai (90+6')
Feb 26, 2022 6am
Gameweek 2
Urawa
0-1
Gamba Osaka
Oct 16, 2021 7am
Gameweek 32
Urawa
1-1
Gamba Osaka
Esaka (90+1' pen.)
Patric (90+4' pen.)
Yamamoto (43'), Kurata (56'), Suganuma (90+1'), Patric (90+4')
May 16, 2021 9am
Gameweek 14
Gamba Osaka
0-3
Urawa
Junker (16', 40'), Tanaka (20')
Shibato (24')