J1 League Gameweek 29
Sep 30, 2023 11.00am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
  • Yuji Ono 9' goal
  • Yoichi Naganuma 36' yellowcard
  • Naoyuki Fujita 85' yellowcard
  • Wataru Harada 90'+9' goal
  • Hwang Seok-Ho 90'+11' goal
  • goal Taichi Hara 32'
  • goal Yuta Toyokawa 60'
  • redcard Hisashi Appiah Tawiah 90'+5'

Sagan Tosu vs Kyoto Sanga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 7.00am
FC Tokyo 3 - 2 Sagan Tosu
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yoichi Naganuma

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 11.00am
Kyoto Sanga 1 - 0 Hiroshima
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Yuta Toyokawa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result

Sagan Tosu 42.12% (-0.21)
Draw 25.55% (-0.04)
Kyoto Sanga 32.33% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.93% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.09% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 48.91% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 29% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 71% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 13.98% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 86.01% (-0.15)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 76.91% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 23.08% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 43.08% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.92% (-0.01)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5 71.42% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 28.58% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 35.62% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 64.37% (-0.35)

Score analysis

Sagan Tosu 42.12%
Draw 25.54%
Kyoto Sanga 32.33%
Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 9.67% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.72% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 42.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.56% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.54%
Kyoto Sanga
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.59% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.17% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.17% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.32% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.16% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 32.33%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 9
Apr 23, 2023 6.00am
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT Kyōto Nishikyogoku Stadium
  • Yuta Toyokawa 21' goal
  • Kosuke Kinoshita 90'+2' goal
  • goal Yuji Ono 22'
  • goal Kazunari Ichimi 32' (OG)
  • goal Fuchi Honda 41'
J1 League Gameweek 31
Oct 1, 2022 7.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Yuta Toyokawa 17'
J1 League Gameweek 8
Apr 10, 2022 8.00am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Peter Utaka 10' goal
  • Sota Kawasaki 14' goal
  • Temma Matsuda 35' yellowcard
  • Peter Utaka 70' goal
  • Mendes 74' yellowcard
  • Shogo Asada 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yuji Ono 60'
  • goal Yuji Ono 77'