Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.