Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.