Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Kashima Antlers had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.