J1 League Gameweek 4
Mar 16, 2024 6.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Nishigaoka National Stadium
  • Takashi Usami 4' goal
  • Takashi Usami 4' goal
  • Kota Yamada 37' yellowcard
  • Kota Yamada 37' yellowcard
  • Welton Felipe 52' yellowcard
  • Welton Felipe 52' yellowcard
  • Dawhan 57' goal
  • Dawhan 57' goal
  • goal Ryo Germain 60'
  • goal Ryo Germain 60'
  • yellowcard Kotaro Fujikawa 72'
  • yellowcard Kotaro Fujikawa 72'

Gamba Osaka vs Jubilo Iwata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 6.00am
Gamba Osaka 1 - 0 Albirex Niigata
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Takashi Usami

Jubilo Iwata

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 5.00am
Jubilo Iwata 0 - 1 Reysol
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Ryo Germain

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Gamba Osaka 34.24% (-0.02)
Draw 25.63%
Jubilo Iwata 40.12% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.2% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.19% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 48.81%
Over 3.5 29.09%
Under 3.5 70.91% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 14.04%
Under 4.5 85.95% (+0.01)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 72.67% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 27.33% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 37.21% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 62.78% (+0.02)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5 75.96% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.04% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 41.69% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 58.31% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Gamba Osaka 34.24%
Draw 25.62%
Jubilo Iwata 40.12%
Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43%
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 34.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.62%
Jubilo Iwata
0-1 @ 9.37% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.66% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.67% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.11% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.17% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67%
1-4 @ 1.47% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 40.12%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 33
Oct 29, 2022 7.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ryotaro Meshino 66' goal
  • Patric 73' goal
J1 League Gameweek 4
Mar 12, 2022 5.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Yamaha Stadium
  • Kotaro Omori 15' goal
  • Makito Ito 67' yellowcard
  • Kosuke Yamamoto 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shu Kurata 64'
  • goal Leandro Pereira 88'