J1 League | Gameweek 4
Mar 17, 2024 at 6am UK
K’s Denki Stadium (Mito)

Kashima Antlers
2 - 1
Kawasaki

Cavric (47', 47'), Suzuki (50', 50')
Parede (90+7'), Parede (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Marcinho (36', 36')
Jesiel (34'), Jesiel (34'), Marcinho (54'), Marcinho (54')
Marcinho (75'), Marcinho (75')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashima Antlers

All competitions
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, March 9 at 5am in J1 League

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, March 9 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Kashima AntlersDrawKawasaki Frontale
36.02% (-1.224 -1.22)28.37% (0.182 0.18)35.61% (1.045 1.04)
Both teams to score 46.7% (-0.477 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.39% (-0.613 -0.61)59.6% (0.613 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.06% (-0.471 -0.47)79.93% (0.471 0.47)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (-1.073 -1.07)31.54% (1.074 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (-1.256 -1.26)67.93% (1.258 1.26)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.21% (0.369 0.37)31.79% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.78% (0.421 0.42)68.22% (-0.42 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Kashima Antlers 36.02%
    Kawasaki Frontale 35.61%
    Draw 28.35%
Kashima AntlersDrawKawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-0 @ 6.68% (-0.245 -0.25)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 36.02%
1-1 @ 13.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.02% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 11.48% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.279 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.068 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 35.61%

Head to Head
Nov 24, 2023 10am
Gameweek 33
Kawasaki
3-0
Kashima Antlers
Damiao (34', 63'), Wakizaka (84' pen.)
Kobayashi (90')

Sano (78'), Hayakawa (82')
Feb 25, 2023 7am
Gameweek 2
Kashima Antlers
1-2
Kawasaki
Chinen (5')
Yamada (89'), Ienaga (90+11' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 11am
Gameweek 27
Kawasaki
2-1
Kashima Antlers
Ienaga (8' pen.), Wakizaka (14')
Schmidt (26'), Tachibanada (68')
Nakama (52')
Pituca (7'), Higuchi (27'), Sekigawa (36')
Feb 26, 2022 6am
Gameweek 2
Kashima Antlers
0-2
Kawasaki
Sep 22, 2021 11am
Gameweek 32
Kashima Antlers
1-2
Kawasaki
Alano (61')
Arthur (90+5')
Yamamura (83'), Miyagi (90+4')