J1 League Gameweek 34
Dec 3, 2023 5.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
  • Wataru Harada 60' yellowcard
  • goal Shota Hino 87' (OG)

Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 5.00am
Reysol 2 - 2 Sagan Tosu
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yoichi Naganuma

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
Last game
Nov 24, 2023 10.00am
Kawasaki 3 - 0 Kashima Antlers
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Yasuto Wakizaka

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result

Sagan Tosu 24.11% (-0.50)
Draw 22.93% (-0.08)
Kawasaki Frontale 52.96% (+0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.61% (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.38% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 42.62% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 34.98% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 65.02% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 18.25% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 81.75% (+0.13)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 68.67% (-0.50)
Under 0.5 31.33% (+0.51)
Over 1.5 32.3% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 67.7% (+0.59)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5 83.9% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 16.1% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 54.49% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 45.51% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Sagan Tosu 24.11%
Draw 22.93%
Kawasaki Frontale 52.96%
Sagan Tosu
2-1 @ 6.2% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 5.86% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.4% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.4% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.31% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 24.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.05% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.93%
Kawasaki Frontale
1-2 @ 9.76% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 9.21% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 8.41% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 5.94% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 5.12% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.71% (+0.04)
0-4 @ 2.34% (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 52.96%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 12
May 7, 2023 7.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
  • Yasuto Wakizaka 52' goal
J1 League Gameweek 20
Aug 31, 2022 11.00am
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kei Chinen 26' goal
  • Joao Schmidt 47' goal
  • Marcinho 56' goal
  • Ryota Oshima 87' goal
J1 League Gameweek 14
May 21, 2022 9.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kei Koizumi 19' yellowcard
  • Masaya Tashiro 90' yellowcard
  • redcard Shogo Taniguchi 82'
J1 League Gameweek 34
Nov 7, 2021 5.00am
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Yuto Iwasaki 3' goal
  • Noriyoshi Sakai 20' goal
  • Tomoya Koyamatsu 32' goal
  • Yoshihiro Nakano 83' yellowcard
  • Ryunosuke Sagara 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Leandro Damiao 90'+1'
J1 League Gameweek 8
Apr 7, 2021 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daiya Tono 65' goal
  • Ao Tanaka 68' yellowcard
  • redcard Masaya Tashiro 57'
J1 League Gameweek 34
Dec 12, 2020 5.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Renzo Lopez 86' goal
  • goal Shogo Taniguchi 57'