Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.