Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.