Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.