AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 1pm UK
Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium
Yokohama F Marinos

Shandong
0 - 1
Yokohama


Wang (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mizunuma (37')
Kamijima (64')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Shandong Taishan and Yokohama F Marinos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shandong 2-1 Wuhan TT
Friday, September 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.83%) and 1-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Shandong TaishanDrawYokohama F Marinos
52.33% (-1.339 -1.34)21.54% (0.427 0.43)26.12% (0.917 0.92)
Both teams to score 64.83% (-0.605 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.92% (-1.198 -1.2)34.08% (1.202 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.05% (-1.368 -1.37)55.95% (1.373 1.37)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.7% (-0.807 -0.81)13.31% (0.812 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.86% (-1.659 -1.66)40.14% (1.665 1.67)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)25.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Shandong Taishan 52.33%
    Yokohama F Marinos 26.12%
    Draw 21.54%
Shandong TaishanDrawYokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.77% (0.215 0.22)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-2 @ 4.35% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.197 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.136 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 52.33%
1-1 @ 9.32% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.36% (0.205 0.21)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.54%
1-2 @ 6.42% (0.204 0.2)
0-1 @ 4.62% (0.282 0.28)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.194 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.093 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.089 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 26.12%