Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.83%) and 1-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.