Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 71.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.82%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.