Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 78.84%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 7.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.89%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 0-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.