Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 16
Jul 12, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Huitang Stadium

Meizhou Hakka
3 - 1
Beijing Guoan

Conraad (19', 31'), Han (45+2' og.)
FT(HT: 3-0)
Ziming (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Chinese Super League clash between Meizhou Hakka and Beijing Guoan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Meizhou Hakka

All competitions
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 3-1 Chengdu Qianbao
Friday, July 7 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 5-0 Shenzhen
Saturday, July 8 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 52.25%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Meizhou HakkaDrawBeijing Guoan
24.26% (0.065999999999999 0.07)23.49% (0.024999999999999 0.02)52.25% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.9% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.04% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)44.96% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.68% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)67.32% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Meizhou Hakka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (0.025000000000006 0.03)32.48% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (0.032 0.03)69.01% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.79% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)17.21% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.5% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)47.49% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Meizhou Hakka 24.26%
    Beijing Guoan 52.25%
    Draw 23.49%
Meizhou HakkaDrawBeijing Guoan
1-0 @ 6.29% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.22% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.53% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.33% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 24.26%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 9.84% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.66% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.08% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.51% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.23% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 52.25%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 1.05pm
Gameweek 1
Beijing Guoan
1-1
Meizhou Hakka
Xizhe (54' pen.)
Ye (19')
Jul 7, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 9
Beijing Guoan
0-0
Meizhou Hakka
Zhongguo (90')
> Preview
Jun 17, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Meizhou Hakka
2-2
Beijing Guoan
Vukanovic (24'), Dugalic (65')
Yang (6'), Kosovic (43'), Nunez (66')
Yang (41')
Zhang (10', 21')
Liu (81'), Dabao (87')
> Preview