Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
43.83% ( 0.14)	25.93% ( 0.29)	30.23% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 52.77% (

-1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.69% (

-1.36)

51.31% (

1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.87% (

-1.2)

73.13% (

1.2)

Meizhou Hakka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.7% (

-0.52)

23.3% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.76% (

-0.76)

57.24% (

0.76)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79% (

-0.99)

31.21% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.45% (

-1.17)

67.55% (

1.17)

Score Analysis

Meizhou Hakka 43.83%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 30.23%

Draw 25.93%

Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.83%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.23%