Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qingdao Jonoon would win this match.