Chinese Super League Gameweek 3
Apr 25, 2023 12.35pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Qingdao Tiantai Stadium
  • Elvis Saric 10' goal
  • Aleksandar Andrejevic 26' goal
  • Evans Kangwa 46' goal
  • goal Souza 50'

Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Qingdao Hainiu

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Apr 21, 2023 12.35pm
Henan 0 - 0 Qingdao Hainiu
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Evans Kangwa

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Apr 20, 2023 12.35pm
Wuhan TT 1 - 1 Beijing Guoan
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Fabio Abreu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Qingdao Jonoon win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result

Qingdao Hainiu 30.02% (-0.81)
Draw 24.24% (+0.06)
Beijing Guoan 45.74% (+0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.27% (-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.94% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 44.06% (+0.67)
Over 3.5 33.55% (-0.66)
Under 3.5 66.45% (+0.66)
Over 4.5 17.2% (-0.49)
Under 4.5 82.8% (+0.49)

Qingdao Hainiu Goals

Over 0.5 72.31% (-0.87)
Under 0.5 27.69% (+0.87)
Over 1.5 36.75% (-1.13)
Under 1.5 63.25% (+1.13)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5 80.58% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 19.42% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 48.76% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 51.24% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Qingdao Hainiu 30.02%
Draw 24.23%
Beijing Guoan 45.74%
Qingdao Hainiu
2-1 @ 7.27% (-0.14)
1-0 @ 6.9% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.43% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 30.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.38% (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.23%
Beijing Guoan
1-2 @ 9.27% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 8.81% (+0.27)
0-2 @ 7.22% (+0.23)
1-3 @ 5.07% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.95% (+0.14)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 2.08% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.62% (+0.06)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 45.74%