Chinese Super League | Gameweek 32

Dec 23, 2022 at 7am UK

Tianhe Stadium

Guangzhou
1 - 3
Beijing Guoan

Ling (9' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-3)

Yu (32'), Duan (34' og.), Zhang (42')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Beijing Guoan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guangzhou

All competitions

Last Game: Guangzhou 2-4 Shandong
Thursday, December 15 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Beijing Guoan

All competitions

Last Game: Beijing Guoan 3-0 Changchun
Thursday, December 15 at 7am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 69.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 12.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 2-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou	Draw	Beijing Guoan
12.82% ( -0.15)	17.65% ( -0.06)	69.52% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 53.72% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.94% (

-0.13)

37.06% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.75% (

-0.14)

59.25% (

0.14)

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.43% (

-0.32)

40.56% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.83% (

-0.28)

77.16% (

0.28)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.39% (

0.01)

9.61% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.89% (

0.03)

32.11% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Guangzhou 12.82%

Beijing Guoan 69.51%

Draw 17.66%

Guangzhou	Draw	Beijing Guoan
2-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.58% Total : 12.82%	1-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.66%	0-2 @ 10.69% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 8.35% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 7.54% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.89% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 4.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 2.07% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.17% Total : 69.51%