Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 94.28%. A draw had a probability of 4.3% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 1.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-4 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.76%) and 0-5 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.02%), while for a Hebei win it was 1-0 (0.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-4 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.