Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 93.32%. A draw had a probability of 5% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 1.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.22%) and 0-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.38%), while for a Hebei win it was 1-0 (0.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.