Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 83.37%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 4.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.44%) and 1-0 (11.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.57%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.