Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Chengdu Qianbao win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.