Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 82.72%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 5.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.66%) and 1-0 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.