Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 15
Aug 28, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Pennant Hills Park

Cangzhou
1 - 2
Changchun

Maritu (79')
Chen (15'), Yang (33'), Shao (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lima (26'), Serginho (90+2' pen.)
Qi (66')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Cangzhou Mighty Lions and Changchun Yatai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cangzhou Mighty Lions

Last Six:
Last Game: Cangzhou 1-1 Zhejiang
Wednesday, August 24 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Changchun Yatai

Last Six:
Last Game: Hebei 1-7 Changchun
Friday, August 19 at 1pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.

Result
Cangzhou Mighty LionsDrawChangchun Yatai
19.95% (-0.147 -0.15)24.86% (0.085000000000001 0.09)55.2% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.19% (-0.441 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.95% (-0.474 -0.47)55.05% (0.477 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.69% (-0.391 -0.39)76.31% (0.395 0.39)
Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.67% (-0.433 -0.43)42.33% (0.437 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.28% (-0.374 -0.37)78.72% (0.377 0.38)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)19.9% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.97% (-0.26 -0.26)52.03% (0.264 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Cangzhou Mighty Lions 19.95%
    Changchun Yatai 55.19%
    Draw 24.85%
Cangzhou Mighty LionsDrawChangchun Yatai
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.046 0.05)
2-1 @ 5.03% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.16% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 19.95%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.43% (0.155 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 13.6% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 10.97% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.91% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.08% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.38% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.045 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 55.19%