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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 9
Jul 6, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Development Area Stadium

Changchun
1 - 2
Shandong

Negrao (19')
Liao (45'), Pengfei (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Crysan (15'), Chen (87')
Crysan (30'), Jin (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Shandong Taishan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

Last Six:
Last Game: Dalian Pro 2-2 Changchun
Sunday, July 3 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Shandong Taishan

Last Six:
Last Game: Shandong 2-0 Guangzhou City
Sunday, July 3 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Changchun Yatai 0-2 Shandong Taishan

 Shandong Taishan have hit the ground running in the new campaign and will be looking to establish themselves in the upper echelons of the table. Looking at past results between the sides, we are backing them to extend their dominance over the hosts, who have managed just one win in their last seven outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawShandong Taishan
35.25% (0.331 0.33) 27.51% (1.015 1.02) 37.25% (-1.344 -1.34)
Both teams to score 49.28% (-3.185 -3.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.6% (-4.033 -4.03)56.4% (4.035 4.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.59% (-3.361 -3.36)77.41% (3.364 3.36)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.59% (-1.777 -1.78)30.41% (1.781 1.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.39% (-2.169 -2.17)66.62% (2.172 2.17)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.82% (-2.697 -2.7)29.18% (2.701 2.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.88% (-3.45 -3.45)65.12% (3.455 3.46)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 35.24%
    Shandong Taishan 37.25%
    Draw 27.51%
Changchun YataiDrawShandong Taishan
1-0 @ 10.56% (1.078 1.08)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-0 @ 6.29% (0.357 0.36)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.29 -0.29)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 35.24%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.41 0.41)
0-0 @ 8.87% (1.292 1.29)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.465 -0.47)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.93% (0.86 0.86)
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.358 -0.36)
0-2 @ 6.73% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.29% (-0.418 -0.42)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.361 -0.36)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.219 -0.22)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.25%

How you voted: Changchun vs Shandong

Changchun Yatai
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Shandong Taishan
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2022 12.30pm
Shandong
4-0
Changchun
Liu (38' og.), Jin (55'), Moises (57', 77')
Jin (50')

Negrao (25')
Jan 4, 2022 7.30am
Changchun
1-1
Shandong
Li (26')
Okore (30')
Delgado (67')
Wang (82')
Dec 22, 2021 12pm
Shandong
2-1
Changchun
Delgado (78'), Guo (90+1')
Moises (21'), Jadson (29')
Lima (51')
Li (21'), Tudi (26'), Lima (35'), Qi (44')
Nov 2, 2018 11.35am
Shandong
2-0
Changchun
Yang (36'), Gil (42')
Haibin (90')

Xiaodong (19'), Tiancheng (90')
Jul 21, 2018 11am
Changchun
1-2
Shandong
Ighalo (24')
Shouting (44'), Guang (85'), Fan (90')
Pelle (47'), Pejcinovic (67' og.)
Lin (4'), Chi (15'), Jingdao (26')
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