Chinese Super League | Gameweek 4
Jun 16, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Shandong
4 - 0
Changchun

Liu (38' og.), Jin (55'), Moises (57', 77')
Jin (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Negrao (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Chinese Super League clash between Shandong Taishan and Changchun Yatai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shandong Taishan

Last Six:
Last Game: Guangzhou City 0-1 Shandong
Sunday, June 12 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Changchun Yatai

Last Six:
Last Game: Changchun 1-1 Dalian Pro
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Shandong TaishanDrawChangchun Yatai
34.48% (2.177 2.18)28.65% (0.232 0.23)36.86% (-2.411 -2.41)
Both teams to score 45.81% (-0.307 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.34% (-0.541 -0.54)60.66% (0.539 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.26% (-0.409 -0.41)80.74% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.92% (1.219 1.22)33.08% (-1.221 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.32% (1.327 1.33)69.67% (-1.33 -1.33)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (-1.737 -1.74)31.54% (1.735 1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (-2.051 -2.05)67.93% (2.049 2.05)
Score Analysis
    Shandong Taishan 34.48%
    Changchun Yatai 36.85%
    Draw 28.64%
Shandong TaishanDrawChangchun Yatai
1-0 @ 11.54% (0.61 0.61)
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.282 0.28)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.531 0.53)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.189 0.19)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.267 0.27)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 13.31% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 10.43% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.64%
0-1 @ 12.03% (-0.34 -0.34)
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-2 @ 6.95% (-0.544 -0.54)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.351 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.85%

How you voted: Shandong vs Changchun

Shandong Taishan
68.0%
Draw
12.0%
Changchun Yatai
20.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2022 7.30am
Changchun
1-1
Shandong
Li (26')
Okore (30')
Delgado (67')
Wang (82')
Dec 22, 2021 12pm
Shandong
2-1
Changchun
Delgado (78'), Guo (90+1')
Moises (21'), Jadson (29')
Lima (51')
Li (21'), Tudi (26'), Lima (35'), Qi (44')
Nov 2, 2018 11.35am
Shandong
2-0
Changchun
Yang (36'), Gil (42')
Haibin (90')

Xiaodong (19'), Tiancheng (90')
Jul 21, 2018 11am
Changchun
1-2
Shandong
Ighalo (24')
Shouting (44'), Guang (85'), Fan (90')
Pelle (47'), Pejcinovic (67' og.)
Lin (4'), Chi (15'), Jingdao (26')