MX23RW : Friday, April 26 06:17:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 4
Jun 16, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Shandong
4 - 0
Changchun

Liu (38' og.), Jin (55'), Moises (57', 77')
Jin (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Negrao (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Chinese Super League clash between Shandong Taishan and Changchun Yatai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Shandong Taishan 2-1 Changchun Yatai

Although there is only a point between the sides after three matches, Shandong Taishan usually fare well on home turf against Thursday's opponents and we think that the hosts will do enough to clinch a fourth consecutive home victory over Changchun. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Shandong TaishanDrawChangchun Yatai
34.48% (2.177 2.18) 28.65% (0.232 0.23) 36.86% (-2.411 -2.41)
Both teams to score 45.81% (-0.307 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.34% (-0.541 -0.54)60.66% (0.539 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.26% (-0.409 -0.41)80.74% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.92% (1.219 1.22)33.08% (-1.221 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.32% (1.327 1.33)69.67% (-1.33 -1.33)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (-1.737 -1.74)31.54% (1.735 1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (-2.051 -2.05)67.93% (2.049 2.05)
Score Analysis
    Shandong Taishan 34.48%
    Changchun Yatai 36.85%
    Draw 28.64%
Shandong TaishanDrawChangchun Yatai
1-0 @ 11.54% (0.61 0.61)
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.282 0.28)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.531 0.53)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.189 0.19)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.267 0.27)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 13.31% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 10.43% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.64%
0-1 @ 12.03% (-0.34 -0.34)
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-2 @ 6.95% (-0.544 -0.54)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.351 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.85%

How you voted: Shandong vs Changchun

Shandong Taishan
68.0%
Draw
12.0%
Changchun Yatai
20.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2022 7.30am
Changchun
1-1
Shandong
Li (26')
Okore (30')
Delgado (67')
Wang (82')
Dec 22, 2021 12pm
Shandong
2-1
Changchun
Delgado (78'), Guo (90+1')
Moises (21'), Jadson (29')
Lima (51')
Li (21'), Tudi (26'), Lima (35'), Qi (44')
Nov 2, 2018 11.35am
Shandong
2-0
Changchun
Yang (36'), Gil (42')
Haibin (90')

Xiaodong (19'), Tiancheng (90')
Jul 21, 2018 11am
Changchun
1-2
Shandong
Ighalo (24')
Shouting (44'), Guang (85'), Fan (90')
Pelle (47'), Pejcinovic (67' og.)
Lin (4'), Chi (15'), Jingdao (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!