Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Guangzhou City win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shandong Taishan in this match.