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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 3
Jun 12, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Yuexiushan Stadium

Guangzhou City
0 - 1
Shandong


Wang (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fellaini (72')
Long (53'), Lisheng (90+2')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou City and Shandong Taishan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dalian Pro 2-0 Guangzhou City
Wednesday, June 8 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 4-1 Shandong
Wednesday, June 8 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Guangzhou City win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shandong Taishan in this match.

Result
Guangzhou CityDrawShandong Taishan
36.11% (0.968 0.97) 25.64% (-0.729 -0.73) 38.25% (-0.24 -0.24)
Both teams to score 55.44% (2.558 2.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.37% (3.228 3.23)48.62% (-3.23 -3.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.26% (2.867 2.87)70.74% (-2.869 -2.87)
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (2.111 2.11)26.14% (-2.114 -2.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.79% (2.75 2.75)61.21% (-2.751 -2.75)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (1.355 1.36)24.94% (-1.358 -1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (1.849 1.85)59.58% (-1.849 -1.85)
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou City 36.11%
    Shandong Taishan 38.25%
    Draw 25.64%
Guangzhou CityDrawShandong Taishan
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.644 -0.64)
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.221 0.22)
2-0 @ 5.87% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.65% (0.304 0.3)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.124 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.3 0.3)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 36.11%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.4 -0.4)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.91 -0.91)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.364 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 9.05% (-0.87 -0.87)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.342 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.175 0.18)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.262 0.26)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.11 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.025 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.25%

Head to Head
Aug 8, 2021 11am
Guangzhou City
1-3
Shandong
Guilherme (85')
Fellaini (45+3'), Jadson (71'), Qi (87')
Xiang (13')
Jul 18, 2021 1pm
Shandong
0-0
Guangzhou City

Xin (35'), Zheng (52'), Fellaini (59')

Guilherme (45+3'), Leonco (69')
Sep 27, 2020 8.30am
Aug 25, 2020 11am
Guangzhou City
1-5
Shandong
Saba (84')
Jin (24'), Pelle (35', 37'), Duan (44'), Guo (58')
Oct 19, 2019 10.30am
Guangzhou City
1-3
Shandong
Zahavi (91')
Dembele (46'), Seba (52')
Cheng (21' og.), Guedes (45'), Fellaini (65')
Jingdao (37'), Fellaini (85')
rhs 2.0
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