Chinese Super League | Gameweek 1
Jun 4, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Development Area Stadium

Changchun
4 - 1
Guangzhou City

Long (22', 34', 66'), Negrao (52')
Tudi (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wu (90')
Wang (76')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Guangzhou City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

Last Six:
Last Game: Zhejiang 0-0 Changchun
Tuesday, June 7 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Next Game: Changchun vs. Dalian Pro
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Guangzhou City

Last Six:
Last Game: Dalian Pro 2-0 Guangzhou City
Wednesday, June 8 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Next Game: Guangzhou City vs. Shandong
Sunday, June 12 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 47.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 24.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawGuangzhou City
47.49% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)27.94% (0.082999999999998 0.08)24.57% (0.283 0.28)
Both teams to score 43.28% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.38% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)61.62% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.54% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)81.45% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-0.218 -0.22)26.1% (0.221 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84% (-0.293 -0.29)61.16% (0.296 0.3)
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.57% (0.219 0.22)41.43% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.06% (0.191 0.19)77.94% (-0.188 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 47.49%
    Guangzhou City 24.57%
    Draw 27.92%
Changchun YataiDrawGuangzhou City
1-0 @ 14.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.76% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 47.49%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 9.53% (0.087 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 24.57%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2021 10am
Changchun
2-1
Guangzhou City
Lima (35'), Negrao (78')
Li (43'), Yang (85'), Chen (90+2')
Wen (21')
Yunlong (57'), Cardona (79'), Gong (80'), Tixiang (83')
Dec 13, 2021 10am
Guangzhou City
0-2
Changchun
Lima (5'), Negrao (85')
(21'), Jie (75'), Long (90+5')
Aug 18, 2018 12.35pm
Guangzhou City
5-2
Changchun
Urso (27'), Tosic (38'), Zhi (45'), Zahavi (73', 90')
Haifeng (68')
Ighalo (12'), Long (78')
Tiancheng (24')
Mar 31, 2018 8.30am
Changchun
1-2
Guangzhou City
Zhang (61')
Chao (42'), Li (68')
Rui (90')
Zahavi (78'), Renatinho (90' pen.)
Zhang (26'), Cheng (90')