Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 50.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dalian Pro would win this match.