Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.