Chinese Super League | Gameweek 8
Jul 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Pennant Hills Park

Shandong
2 - 0
Guangzhou City

Crysan (31'), Zheng (42')
Lisheng (16'), Yang (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Chun Lok (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Chinese Super League clash between Shandong Taishan and Guangzhou City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 14.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Shandong Taishan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shandong Taishan.

Result
Shandong TaishanDrawGuangzhou City
63.05% (-0.206 -0.21)22.35% (-0.055 -0.05)14.6% (0.262 0.26)
Both teams to score 43.34% (0.741 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.57% (0.665 0.66)53.43% (-0.665 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04% (0.56 0.56)74.96% (-0.559 -0.56)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.57% (0.16199999999999 0.16)16.43% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.89% (0.292 0.29)46.1% (-0.293 -0.29)
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.85% (0.786 0.79)48.14% (-0.787 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.66% (0.569 0.57)83.33% (-0.569 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    Shandong Taishan 63.05%
    Guangzhou City 14.6%
    Draw 22.35%
Shandong TaishanDrawGuangzhou City
1-0 @ 14.28% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-0 @ 12.9% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 7.77% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.51% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.072 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.037 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 63.05%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.91% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-2 @ 3.45% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 5.78% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.82% (0.092 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.11% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 14.6%

How you voted: Shandong vs Guangzhou City

Shandong Taishan
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Guangzhou City
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Jun 12, 2022 10.30am
Guangzhou City
0-1
Shandong

Wang (83')
Fellaini (72')
Long (53'), Lisheng (90+2')
Aug 8, 2021 11am
Guangzhou City
1-3
Shandong
Guilherme (85')
Fellaini (45+3'), Jadson (71'), Qi (87')
Xiang (13')
Jul 18, 2021 1pm
Shandong
0-0
Guangzhou City

Xin (35'), Zheng (52'), Fellaini (59')

Guilherme (45+3'), Leonco (69')
Sep 27, 2020 8.30am
Aug 25, 2020 11am
Guangzhou City
1-5
Shandong
Saba (84')
Jin (24'), Pelle (35', 37'), Duan (44'), Guo (58')