Sports Mole previews Saturday's Chinese Super League clash between Shandong Taishan and Guangzhou City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Shandong Taishan 2-0 Guangzhou City
Shandong Taishan will be licking their lips as they welcome a floundering Guangzhou City side who are yet to pick up a point this season. The Taishan Dui's home turf has been a fortress so far and we are backing them to extend their dominance over the visitors and come away with all three points once again.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 14.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Shandong Taishan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shandong Taishan.